A/B Test Guide

The finale

A/B test sample size calculator

How many users do you need for your experiment?

A quick recap of what shapes the sample size:

This is a pre-experiment calculator. It helps you plan how many visitors you need before you launch, so your results have a fair shot at clearing your chosen threshold.

Inputs
%
%
Confidence

Output

Minimum visitors in A

11,604

Minimum visitors in B

11,604

Each side needs ~11,604 visitors to detect a 10% relative lift on a 10% baseline at 95% confidence.

Interactive
A: 10.0%B: 11.0%threshold (95%)8.0%10%12%14%Conversion rate per 1,000-visitor sample
  • False positive — you declare B a winner even if no real difference exists
  • False negative — you declare A your winner, even if B is better
  • Curve widths are kept constant to visualize the bells drifting apart, not scaled to calculated sample size.

How long will it take?

~24 days

At 1,000 visitors per day, you need ~24 days to collect the 23,208 total visitors required.

Assumptions

  • Conversion rate metric. The numbers here assume you're measuring a conversion rate (e.g. signup, purchase) — not revenue, time-on-page, or other continuous metrics.
  • One-tailed test. This calculator only checks whether B beats A — not whether A beats B. One tail, one direction.
  • Relative effect. The minimum detectable effect (lift) input is a relative change (e.g. 10% lift means B is 10% better than A) rather than an absolute change (which would mean B is 10 percentage points better than A).
  • Power fixed at 80%. Power is the chance of catching a real win if one exists. We lock it at 80% here and leave that lever for a later version of the calculator.

Set your baseline conversion, the smallest effect worth detecting, and your confidence level. The visitors-per-variant number tells you how many people each side of your test needs before you have a good chance to tell A from B.

Halve the lift and the required visitors roughly quadruple. Push confidence from 95% to 99% and the threshold slides further out, so you need more visitors to clear it. The relationships you've been reading off the chart now have numbers attached.

About the author

Christoph Krenn
Christoph Krenn
Product Manager & builder

As a Product Manager and builder, I found that most A/B testing resources are too complex for beginners. I created this interactive guide and calculator to provide a simple, fun alternative. I hope it helps you get started!